Sunday, February 28, 2010

Bad Good Guys Are Very Bad

Geopolitics: Good bad guys are good. Bad good guys are bad. The two are not to be confused. Bad good guys are democratic governments or pro-democratic groups that act against America’s interest in the Long War, such as Israel’s spy agency, Mossad. Recently Mossad was caught red-handed after assassinating a Hamas commander in Dubai. There is no way humble Dubai busted the mighty Mossad without help from one of the world’s top intelligence agencies. In the same vein, since 2008 Lebanon’s security services have broken up 25 Mossad spy rings. Lebanon has been using suspiciously sophisticated electronics equipment to dismantle Mossad operations. The Lebanese government hints that Russia or France has been helping it. No way. It is more likely the CIA is quietly declaring war against Mossad.
The democratically elected government of Turkey is openly Islamist. It advocates an Islamic theocratic government but with elections. This is exactly what Iran says. Up till now the Turkish government had been pretty mild mannered, nothing like Iran. But within the last couple weeks it has started arresting retired ex-Army officers who supposedly planned a coup in 2006, but never acted on these supposed plans. For the last 70 years the Turkish army has overthrown civilian governments when they become too Islamist, a cornerstone of Turkish stability and secularism. Turkey’s current civilian government is trying to destroy this covenant. It is officially a bad good guy organization. Obama is so far doing nothing about this problem (busy with healthcare). The Turkish stock market is crashing as a result of all this, which is not helping the turmoil in nearby Greece.
Amnesty International is also a bad good guy organization. It has put a former Gitmo detainee in a position of power. This guy is pro-Taliban and very open about his affiliation. Partially through Amnesty International’s lobbying efforts, a recent Congressional CIA funding bill contained language that would hand out 15 year jail sentences to any CIA interrogator who even lowered the temperature in an interrogation room while grilling a bad guy, let alone water-boarding, etc… This language was removed at the last minute by Republicans. Nevertheless, because of western groups like Amnesty International, the CIA cannot really interrogate bad guys any more. When the CIA cannot easily hand over captured bad guys to the Pak/Egypt/Afghan/Iraq spy agencies for interrogation it simply kills them in the field. We saw this last September when the CIA and Special Forces landed helicopters in Somalia and captured Saleh Ali Nabhan (a top Al-Qaeda leader) and several other big fish. These bad guys were simply killed on the spot. It would have been invaluable to have interrogated them but under the circumstances that would have risked the ire of western human rights organizations.
So once again we are faced with evidence that the Long War will last longer than what voters are expecting. How long will it take to do the following: dismantle America’s toxic alliance with Israel, neuter western human rights groups, and change the structure of democratic Islamist governments? Decades? And with the Turkish stock market crashing we see real world financial implications in these questions.

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