Wednesday, May 5, 2010

Hitler Wept That Day

Charts: At midday, 1168, the 50-day moving average is holding. All financial media outlets agree that yesterday’s massive selloff was caused by fear of Greece defaulting, not geopolitics. If I’m right, that it was geopolitics, then the correction will be mild. If I’m wrong and Greece is really that bad, then it will be horrific. This is why the geopolitical situation is actually pretty good…

Geopolitics: In Pakistan, the ISI is springing into action over the failed New York car bomb. Bad guys are being arrested and one small terror network is being rolled up. Recently Taliban video footage has been released proving that H. Mehsud, the leader of the Pak Taliban, is still alive. However, the Pak Army is hinting that the New York terror attempt originated with a smaller, lesser known Taliban, and this seems to be the group that is being rolled up.
The whole incident will have one beneficial effect: American peace protests over the coming summer offensive in Kandahar will be nonexistent. Today a NATO spokesman is using this shift in public mood to highlight the probable severity in good guy casualties as the Marines start pushing into Kandahar in the next couple months. NATO says the Taliban is loaded for bear. If not for the New York car bomb attempt large numbers of dead good guys would have been met with howls of peacenik protest. So the NY car bomb was a stupid move and thus it is believable that one of the big (strategically smart) Talibans is not behind the attempt.
And we must not lose sight of the fact that General McChrystal is one of the greatest military geniuses in history. McChrystal and Afghan Pres. Karzai are embarking on a tour of Washington DC. McChrystal is introducing Karzai to Senators and Congressmen. Karzai’s leadership will be solidified like super-strength concrete and he will be able to rig all the elections he wants. McChrystal is ensuring that someday Afghanistan will become a real democracy. All the mistakes America made in Iraq revolved around the concept of winning quickly. There is no winning quickly and building a real democracy will take a very long time. Now let’s look at the really big picture…
The ancient Greeks created democracy to win wars, not because they thought individual liberty is noble and moral. A democracy with its citizenry united and committed to winning a war will always tear apart any dictatorship. And thus we begin to see what a horrible mistake it is for jihadists to attack inside the United States. Both Hitler and Admiral Hirohito wept the day Japan attacked Pearl Harbor.

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