Fundamentals: The market is waiting for the Greek elections for its next major move. We will know the results in a few weeks.
Long War: Three months ago the CIA and Special Forces launched a campaign against the Lord's Resistance Army in central Africa. LRA is the most powerful and dangerous of the radical Christian militias in Africa. This CIA semi-covert operation has already killed the number two leader of LRA. If radical Christianity is eliminated in central Africa, then Christian villages under siege by radical Islam will have to turn to the good guys for protection, not call in radicals to battle radicals.
You will recall in yesterday's blog I suggested that the CIA was grooming Italian Intelligence to take center stage in Libya with its very own drone fleet. Ethiopia is a pro-American powerhouse in Africa and a former Italian colony. Ethiopia and Italy should be able to work together in coming African Long War conflicts.
The Sudan vs South Sudan conflict also seems to be enjoying serious Langley influence to keep the situation stable.
A lot of energy is being poured into Africa.
The battlefield for Africa is being carefully shaped. There is long term planning going on that befits a hundred-year long war. In the medium term it seems that the master planners anticipate AQAP's fall in Yemen and a whack-a-mole effect that sees streams of bad guys pouring into Africa. The whack-a-mole effect is not desirable but it is inevitable. So it is smart to plan ahead for it.
Thursday, May 31, 2012
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