Saturday, September 1, 2012

Good Guys Winning in Syria

Long War: In Syria, the Battle for Aleppo rages on. Assad's Army must take the gateway district of Salaheddine to win this battle. At one point Assad held 50% of Aleppo and all of Salaheddine. Now he holds 40% of the city and the rebels have pushed back into Salaheddine. The rebels have retrenched around the capital city Damascus. The rebels have attacked several of Assad's air bases and captured one. The rebels have destroyed a number of jets on the ground and shot 3 aircraft out of the sky with surface to air missiles.

Assad cannot mount serious ground assaults against rebel formations. Therefore his best tactic is pound them from the air. But if the rebels can take air bases away from him, then he is in for a world of hurt.

Iran is feeling the heat as its puppet faces defeat in Syria. Iran is making all kinds of threats, and in diplomatic double-talk it is saying its nuclear program is way more advanced than anybody thinks and is hinting it will start throwing nukes around one of these days.

The US State department slapped Iran down hard diplomatically when the pariah nation hosted the non-aligned countries conference and then the keynote speakers all made speeches slamming Iran. Ouch. This required careful planning and behind the scenes execution by Hillary Clinton, who continues to kick nine yards of ass despite Obama's cowardliness.

In the rest of the Long War the same old pattern holds where the parts controlled by the CIA are doing well and those controlled by the Pentagon are doing poorly. CIA drone strikes in Yemen destroyed an Al-Qaeda terror team as it was on its way to make a big strike. Obviously then the CIA has moles inside AQAP (Al-Qaeda Yemen).

But in Afghanistan the Taliban has infiltrated the Afghani Army in a big way and insider attacks are at an all time high. Insider attacks keep coming and coming. Five Australian soldiers were killed yesterday and Australia will surely pull out ahead of schedule.

Deep in the south of Afghanistan we are getting hints of activity by Kandahar police chief Razik. He is the CIA installed strongman down there who has taken over some of the drug trade. Razik is beginning to flex his muscle in a small way. If the Taliban's insider attacks do indeed chase NATO out of the country ahead of schedule, then Western public opinion will become totally indifferent to what goes on in Afghanistan. If the cloak of indifference is big enough, then the CIA will be able to use strongmen like Razik to take over the country.

Now consider this, and see if you think we have an example of CIA fingerprints... The beheading campaign that the Taliban launched after the CIA killed several top bad guy leaders seems to have slipped away from the Taliban upper circle. Rogue and very young Taliban fighters are now beheading children, sparking outrage among Afghani civilians and tarnishing the Taliban's image.

If the CIA were to be left completely alone, if NATO, the Western NGOs, and all the foreign do-gooders were to leave, then the spooks would be able to dust off their dirty tricks book and take complete control. Right after the book is dusted off it will get ugly. But then it will start looking better.

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