Thursday, May 24, 2012

Full Court Press Against Al-Qaeda

Charts: The market is in a rally attempt. I was wrong yesterday when I said the rally attempt had failed. Yesterday's blog was written at midday when the NASDAQ was down 1.7%. After I published yesterday's blog there was an upside reversal, which reaffirmed the rally attempt. So we are not in a correction or a rally. We need a follow through day for a technical rally to begin.

Long War: The Western media is reporting that the anti-nuclear peace talks between Iran and 5 plus 1 are faltering. This isn't true. The two sides are circling each other like scorpions in a bottle, but neither side has lashed out with its stinger. A new round of talks has been scheduled in a month in Moscow. To gauge if any progress has been made we need to listen to what Iran has to say, not the Western media. By this criteria, progress is being made.

America is supporting the Yemeni Army in its massive offensive against AQAP on several different fronts. The State Deparment is admitting to a huge internet hacking scheme which has turned Al-Qaeda websites into pro-American propoganda tools.

Elements of the deposed Yemeni dictator, Saleh, have been supporting Al-Qaeda. The US Treasury is installing economic sanctions against individuals loyal to Saleh. Treasury must be working with the CIA to do this, and the same can be said for the State Department. Clearly we are seeing another example of Director Petraeus reaching out to other parts of the US government and bending them to the will of the CIA.

What is at stake in this battle? The black flag of Al-Qaeda flies over the southern Yemeni port city of Aden. This port is located along a sea lane that carries a large percentage of the West's oil. Al-Qaeda wants to stop this oil from flowing and thereby crippling the world economy. So a lot is at stake.

Meanwhile, on the battlefield in southern Yemen, 35 Al-Qaeda soldiers were killed today by the Yemeni Army and a key town was captured.

If AQAP is crushed by the Yemeni Army in southern Yemen, then the good guys will attack the Houthi rebels in the north. The Houthis are puppets of Iran. If the Houthis in turn are crushed, then Iran will be more likely to cave-in at the peace talks with 5 plus 1. This will bring down the price of oil and perhaps prevent a global double-dip recession. You can see that the battle in Yemen is the most important in the world and why all parts of the American government are engaged in a full court press.

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