Monday, June 25, 2012

Screaming Fingerprints

Long War: For nearly five decades there was close to a 100% corelation between the fortunes of America in the Cold War and the global stock market. If the US was winning the Cold War stocks went up. When the US was losing stocks went down. Not so with the Long War. It only has a tight corelation with the stock market when Long War conflict is obvioulsy affecting the price of oil. Long War combat that is far away from oil fields and doesn't directly involve Iran isn't (for now) having a very big impact on stock prices.

That will change. Stocks markets will not ignore major Long War developments forever, so we need to keep the eye on the ball and understand what's happening in the global war zone.

Turkey has called a meeting of the NATO war council. Turkey is saying Syria shot down a Turkish F4 fighter over international waters. The downed jet is under thousands of feet of water so Syria can't touch it and probably Turkey can't either. Probably only the US can locate and recover the downed jet. So the US could prove one way or the other if the jet was shot down in international waters.

If the F4 didn't penetrate Syrian air space, then Turkey can press NATO into taking military action against Syria. Turkey itself is more likely to take military action depending on how the US handles the recovery of the downed jet.

Yesterday several top Syrian military officers defected to Turkey. It is likely that these officers had something to do with ordering the F4 shot down and they are getting out of Dodge.

The defecting officers are strong evidence that the CIA had something (or everything) to do with Syria's insane desicion to try and goad Turkey into declaring war on Syria.

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