Long War: The African Union has not eliminated Al-Shabab in Somalia. The bad guys still control a few villages even though the position they once held of dominating the entire country has been shattered. Eliminating those few remaining Al-Shabab villages seemed as though it would be a mere mopping up operation.
The mopping up has gotten tougher as fighters from Yemen are being chased out of country by a ferocious good guy offensive and landing in Somalia, well-armed, pissed off and ready to fight. Al-Shabab is offering a home to the rats fleeing the last battles of the Yemen War. Clearly resources will have to be channeled to the AU offensive in Somalia because the whack-a-mole effect is bolstering the bad guys there.
But in Yemen its doesn't look so good for the bad guys. The Yemeni Army is now opening up access to oil producing regions that Al-Qaeda had blocked off. Soon oil revenue will start flowing back into the Yemeni government and the Yemeni Army. This will allow the Yemeni offensive to continue. The next target will be the pro-Iranian Houthi rebels in northern Yemen. But Al-Qaeda is not dead yet in Yemen, even though it has lost all the towns and cities it once controlled. From hilltop hideaways the bad guys have mounted a desperate campaign to kill top Yemeni generals. In fact last week they assassinated the number one general. There is a lot of fighting ahead for this war torn nation.
But Al-Qaeda is crumbling in Yemen and this is triggering a big whack-a-mole effect, where bad guys flee one battlefield to pop up in another. Bad guys will eventually be flowing into Mali from Somalia and Yemen as the good guys keep winning their respective wars. This means the Mali War (which is still a couple years away from starting) will be bigger than most people think. Naturally Petareus will not be caught by surprise.
The Syrian Air Force shot down a Turkish jet. It is likely that the Turkish jet was not even in Syrian air space. Turkey is ten times stronger than Syria. Turkey is already the host country for the rebel Free Syria Army, giving the FSA bases and a safe haven to fight from. In other words, Turkey is already halfway declaring war on Syria as it is. If the upper levels of Syria's leadership deliberately provoked Turkey by shooting down that fighter jet, then the Syrian leadership is 100% insane. But this is not the case, they are not insane. This means a Syrian Air Force officer or several officers are insane. But this probably isn't true either. So what are we left with to explain the downed jet?
How about a couple of Syrian Air Force officers are undergoing plastic surgery and are getting ready to open donut shops in San Diego? How about this jet getting shot down is another example of CIA fingerprints, very sticky and crusted with donut crumbs?
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