Tuesday, March 22, 2011

CIA Fingerprints in Libya? Yes!

Long War: A US fighter jet crashed in the Libyan desert due to mechanical failure. One of the pilots was rescued by Libyan Rage Rebels. This is proof that the rebels have CIA operatives working with them because there is no way the rebels could quickly find a downed airman on their own. Also, the commander of Odyssey Dawn, US General Carter Ham, said he has been informed by forces on the ground that Gaddafi's soldiers were in retreat from the battlefield around Benghazi. We can't know what the CIA is really doing, but can only look for CIA fingerprints.

Fierce battles are occurring in and around 4 Libyan cities. The rebels are prevailing in some of these battles and Gaddafi's army is gaining the upper hand in the others. In the near term, the stock market will advance or retreat as the Libyan Rage Rebels advance or retreat.

It isn't our job to tell Obama how to win the Long War, but it is our job to recognize what needs to happen for LW progress to occur so we can invest accordingly. What needs to happen is the US gains control over the vast sweep of Rage Rebellion infecting the Mideast, not just in Libya, although obviously this is where it must start. The Rage is still flaring in Egypt despite (or more likely because of) the Muslim Brotherhood's electoral victory last weekend. Rioting Egyptian policemen are burning buildings in Cairo. In Yemen, the government of pro-American dictator Saleh is on the verge of collapsing as Yemeni Army generals defect and join the Rage Rebels. The highest ranking general to defect is considered to have strong ties to Al-Qaeda. Not Good.

And traditional Long War hotspots must also see progress. CIA drone flights in tribal Pakistan have resumed as the ISI and CIA kissed and made up after a nasty spat due to CIA operative Raymond Davis assassinating several dirty ISI agents. As a reaction to this good news, the North Waziristan Taliban says that it is ready to break its truce with the Pak government and ramp up its terror campaign inside non-tribal Pakistan. The US needs to make sure that the Pak government doesn't buckle under this Taliban threat.

Furthermore, throughout the Mideast and north Africa local governments are no longer rooting out and destroying Al-Qaeda camps or cells because either pro-American/anti-Al-Qaeda governments have collapsed or they are threatened by Rage Rebels. Up until recently these governments have been "mowing the lawn," that is, they have been steadily grinding down the bad guys. For instance, what is happening in southern Libya where neither Gaddafi or the rebels hold sway? Right now southern Libya is like a lawless failed state. Are there Al-Qaeda training camps springing up there like poison mushrooms? In any case there will be a huge mess to clean-up when and if the US does take control over the Rage.

The greatest danger to all the stuff that needs to happen is Obama-Care and other big government domestic spending schemes that the President and the left share. Obama is acting like a deer in the headlights because he is terrified that the new demands on the Pentagon and the CIA will torpedo his domestic agenda. The stock market is crying out for guns not butter and it will tank if the cry is not heard.

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