Thursday, March 3, 2011

What Size Are Obama's Stones?

Long War: Yesterday I said that Obama would only order symbolic military action against Gaddafi and the Pentagon was telling him either go big or go home. Since then the XVII Airborne Corp, the 82nd Airborne Division, US Special Operations Command and a USMC expeditionary force have been scrambling, preparing to put the hammer down.
It appears that I misjudged the size of Obama's stones. I thought they were maybe peanut-size, but it looks like they are closer to coconut-size. My Bad, sorry. This morning there are reports that Gaddafi wants to negotiate a peace deal with the Rage Rebels. This could be a ploy on Gaddafi's part and disaster could be looming just ahead. But for the sake of argument let's say Gaddafi really is throwing in the towel. That means the US backing the Libyan Rage Rebels is a smart move and it might lead to the US co-opting the entire Rage Rebellion throughout the Mideast. This happy scenario is entirely contingent on the size of Obama's stones. As investors we must decide how big they are.
Let us consider how badly things can go if a US President has small stones, such as George H.W. Bush, who had itty-bitty stones. Bush ordered US troops into Somalia in 1992, not to wipe out the jihadist gangs there but (with very limited rules of engagement) to protect food convoys and not hurt anyone. The jihadists wiped out the American force and over time applied for and received the Al-Qaeda franchise, today they are bad guy superheroes. Bush should have ordered his troops to vaporise these bad guys. If he had done that there might not even by a Long War today. The Blackhawk Down incident in the early 90s helped expand Al-Qaeda's global reach almost as much as 9/11. It was a huge victory for the bad guys. The entire fiasco resulted from the senior Bush's miniature cojones.

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